← Realgoodeal Distorted Reflections Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Realgoodeal Distorted Reflections Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 63.8% | 60.0% | 56.4% | 1328 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 59.8% | 53.3% | 54.6% | 1239 | — |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.0% | 53.3% | 50.5% | 1280 | — |
| 4 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 59.6% | 53.3% | 54.5% | 1147 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.9% | 46.7% | 50.0% | 1067 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.6% | 46.7% | 48.9% | 1295 | — |
| 7 | Water Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 46.7% | 42.2% | 1477 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 34.9% | 40.0% | 43.0% | 1202 | ↓ low |