← Distorted Reflections Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 9.1% 4 75.0% 62.8% 56.0% 55.7% 1284
2 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 9.1% 4 75.0% 58.6% 55.0% 53.7% 1330 ↑ top
3 Wind Shadowstrike 2 18.2% 5 60.0% 48.3% 52.5% 49.3% 1326 ↑ top
4 Slimes 1 9.1% 4 75.0% 60.0% 52.0% 52.5% 1455 ↑ top
5 Water Genbu 1 9.1% 5 60.0% 61.8% 52.0% 54.2% 1143 ↓ low
6 Fire Exia 1 9.1% 5 50.0% 52.7% 50.0% 51.0% 1207 ↓ low
7 Wind Seiryuu 1 9.1% 5 60.0% 54.4% 50.0% 50.8% 1278
8 Fire Suited 1 9.1% 3 33.3% 44.4% 46.7% 47.4% 1316 ↑ top
9 Wind Allies 1 9.1% 3 16.7% 39.6% 43.3% 45.2% 1142 ↓ low
10 Fire Byakko 1 9.1% 3 0.0% 28.9% 40.0% 40.2% 1059 ↓ low
11 Fire Crux Mage 1 9.1% 3 0.0% 28.9% 40.0% 40.2% 1059 ↓ low