← DTR Gathering Hub Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DTR Gathering Hub Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 8.3% | 10 | 80.0% | 64.7% | 60.0% | 57.5% | 1253 | — |
| 2 | Fire Rile | 3 | 25.0% | 18 | 66.7% | 63.3% | 58.5% | 58.8% | 1253 | — |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 7 | 57.1% | 59.6% | 52.0% | 53.7% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 8.3% | 7 | 57.1% | 59.6% | 52.0% | 53.7% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 8.3% | 8 | 50.0% | 59.3% | 51.3% | 55.4% | 1228 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 8.3% | 6 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 50.0% | 48.8% | 1279 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Allies | 2 | 16.7% | 15 | 46.7% | 43.6% | 47.0% | 45.3% | 1252 | — |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 30.0% | 30.0% | 46.7% | 41.8% | 1297 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Nico | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 36.1% | 44.4% | 43.3% | 1272 | — |
| 10 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 25.0% | 11 | 27.3% | 35.5% | 41.3% | 41.5% | 1235 | — |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 10.0% | 31.8% | 40.6% | 42.2% | 1169 | ↓ low |