← DTR Store Championships @ Favonia HQ
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DTR Store Championships @ Favonia HQ.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 70.0% | 54.4% | 60.0% | 54.1% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Astra Cleric | 3 | 15.0% | 10 | 75.0% | 57.3% | 57.3% | 53.6% | 1421 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 70.0% | 55.3% | 54.3% | 52.1% | 1428 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.0% | 9 | 61.1% | 57.0% | 53.3% | 51.9% | 1249 | — |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 43.7% | 51.1% | 48.8% | 1420 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 56.5% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 1268 | — |
| 7 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 59.1% | 50.0% | 50.4% | 1383 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 15.0% | 13 | 50.0% | 60.7% | 48.9% | 52.7% | 1243 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 37.5% | 39.0% | 47.8% | 46.0% | 1460 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Exia | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 59.3% | 47.1% | 52.5% | 1101 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 5.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.3% | 46.7% | 49.2% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.9% | 46.7% | 48.0% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 31.4% | 41.4% | 41.1% | 1237 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 10.0% | 8 | 18.8% | 32.0% | 40.9% | 41.7% | 1208 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 5.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 28.2% | 40.0% | 39.7% | 1130 | ↓ low |