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Wind Umbra CielTier 2
at Store Championship IKI Cardshop
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.7%
avg ELO -7.8 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1036
· median 1036
· range 1036–1036
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1036
Q1 1219
Q3 1385
1437
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Umbra Ciel decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
