← Symphony DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Symphony DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 10.0% | 7 | 100.0% | 59.6% | 70.0% | 55.8% | 1652 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 1 | 10.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 54.1% | 53.7% | 55.8% | 1264 | — |
| 3 | Fire Rile | 6 | 60.0% | 19 | 55.3% | 55.8% | 53.3% | 52.9% | 1311 | — |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 10.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 49.4% | 52.0% | 48.4% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 10.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 45.0% | 52.0% | 45.3% | 1396 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 56.0% | 44.0% | 50.3% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 54.9% | 42.5% | 49.9% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 42.0% | 41.3% | 46.1% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 6 | 16.7% | 41.9% | 38.0% | 43.8% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 0.0% | 29.2% | 35.0% | 36.3% | 1162 | ↓ low |