← Shipwreck Games DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Shipwreck Games DTR Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 58.3% | 60.6% | 1364 | — |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 65.6% | 56.0% | 57.6% | 1378 | — |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 52.7% | 56.0% | 51.8% | 1453 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 48.9% | 55.0% | 49.6% | 1352 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 16.7% | 8 | 50.0% | 42.3% | 50.5% | 47.9% | 1492 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 51.1% | 50.0% | 48.1% | 1522 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Cats | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 53.6% | 45.0% | 50.9% | 1101 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.6% | 44.0% | 47.1% | 1155 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.3% | 44.0% | 46.1% | 1355 | — |
| 10 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 16.7% | 45.9% | 43.3% | 48.1% | 1171 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 8.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.5% | 40.0% | 43.7% | 1140 | ↓ low |