← DTR Store Champs @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DTR Store Champs @ Hobby Lords Lower Hutt.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 30.0% | 6 | 83.3% | 60.0% | 58.0% | 53.9% | 1416 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 80.0% | 59.8% | 55.0% | 52.5% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.9% | 50.0% | 51.1% | 1291 | — |
| 4 | Water Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.9% | 50.0% | 51.1% | 1291 | — |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.3% | 48.6% | 48.0% | 1341 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 45.0% | 48.0% | 48.2% | 994 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.3% | 46.7% | 48.9% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 43.3% | 41.7% | 47.8% | 921 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 10.0% | 33.5% | 41.4% | 44.2% | 1013 | ↓ low |