← Hobby Lords Palmerston North Store CHamps
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Hobby Lords Palmerston North Store CHamps.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 65.4% | 60.0% | 56.8% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 57.8% | 52.0% | 1575 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 52.8% | 53.3% | 51.3% | 1370 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 56.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1231 | — |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.5% | 50.0% | 50.9% | 1114 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 34.2% | 45.0% | 43.2% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Slimes | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 25.0% | 45.8% | 44.7% | 48.6% | 1104 | ↓ low |