← Tabletop Village Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Tabletop Village Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 100.0% | 69.6% | 60.0% | 56.4% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 71.4% | 61.8% | 56.7% | 55.5% | 1436 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 4.2% | 7 | 71.4% | 59.0% | 56.7% | 55.3% | 1326 | — |
| 4 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 50.0% | 48.6% | 52.7% | 51.5% | 1343 | — |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 60.0% | 52.7% | 51.7% | 50.4% | 1422 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.4% | 50.0% | 50.6% | 1272 | — |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.8% | 50.0% | 48.0% | 1327 | — |
| 8 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 64.2% | 50.0% | 53.3% | 1315 | — |
| 9 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 4.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 42.2% | 50.0% | 50.1% | 1318 | — |
| 10 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 50.0% | 52.2% | 50.0% | 51.4% | 1295 | — |
| 11 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.5% | 50.0% | 50.6% | 1398 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 67.6% | 50.0% | 54.8% | 1298 | — |
| 13 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 45.5% | 48.6% | 48.3% | 1309 | — |
| 14 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 36.4% | 47.5% | 45.2% | 1343 | — |
| 15 | Fire Tera Cleric | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 42.5% | 47.1% | 48.9% | 1100 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Tera Mage | 2 | 8.3% | 9 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 46.7% | 50.3% | 1141 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 8.3% | 9 | 38.9% | 35.8% | 46.3% | 44.5% | 1320 | — |
| 18 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 27.7% | 43.3% | 41.6% | 1357 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.2% | 3 | 16.7% | 42.9% | 43.3% | 46.7% | 1102 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Zander | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 43.2% | 42.9% | 46.4% | 1194 | ↓ low |