← 11/8 Store Championship - The Banish Zone
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at 11/8 Store Championship - The Banish Zone
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.3%
avg ELO +2.1 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 989
· median 989
· range 989–989
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1115
Q3 1357
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Slimes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
