← Oinkers Island Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Oinkers Island Store Championship
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-3-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.9%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
48.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1319
· range 1269–1368
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1191
Q3 1343
1525
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 30.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.4% | -7.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Fire Suited | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
