EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DeckaDice DTR Store Champs!.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Exia | 2 | 14.3% | 11 | 77.3% | 59.0% | 59.4% | 54.4% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 63.8% | 56.4% | 59.2% | 1303 | — |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 7.1% | 7 | 71.4% | 50.9% | 56.0% | 49.0% | 1410 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 54.1% | 55.5% | 51.7% | 1447 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 14.3% | 9 | 55.6% | 52.4% | 53.8% | 51.9% | 1262 | — |
| 6 | Fire Rile | 6 | 42.9% | 24 | 58.3% | 57.2% | 50.7% | 51.7% | 1271 | — |
| 7 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 14.3% | 14 | 57.1% | 49.7% | 50.4% | 48.2% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 16.7% | 37.2% | 40.0% | 43.9% | 1246 | — |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 16.7% | 40.8% | 38.5% | 43.6% | 1102 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 0.0% | 29.9% | 36.9% | 41.9% | 1002 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 7.1% | 7 | 14.3% | 39.6% | 36.5% | 43.3% | 1080 | ↓ low |