← The End Games Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The End Games Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 13.3% | 13 | 73.1% | 65.9% | 62.8% | 61.1% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 66.7% | 48.6% | 58.7% | 53.4% | 1388 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 66.7% | 42.1% | 56.0% | 48.9% | 1507 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Arcane | 2 | 13.3% | 14 | 60.7% | 64.7% | 54.7% | 58.9% | 1335 | — |
| 5 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 41.7% | 49.4% | 49.2% | 52.3% | 1279 | — |
| 6 | Fire Rile | 9 | 60.0% | 33 | 48.5% | 42.4% | 48.0% | 45.2% | 1356 | — |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 40.0% | 34.7% | 44.2% | 39.3% | 1388 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 33.3% | 58.5% | 43.5% | 54.2% | 1253 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.7% | 5 | 10.0% | 45.2% | 36.5% | 49.2% | 1001 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 16.7% | 44.0% | 33.1% | 43.7% | 1129 | ↓ low |