← Games Haven BBK Store Championship DTR
Water Umbra GuardianTier 2
at Games Haven BBK Store Championship DTR
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-5-1
overall winrate
31.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.3%
avg ELO -5.1 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1293
· median 1293
· range 1118–1468
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1210
Q3 1466
1513
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -11.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.5 |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
