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Wind SeiryuuTier 2

at Games Haven BBK Store Championship DTR

decks
2 (9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 2-5-1
overall winrate
31.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.7% avg ELO -5.4 per match
expected value
42.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1280 · median 1280 · range 1154–1407 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1118 Q1 1210 Q3 1466 1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 18.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 38.5% -11.0
Water Umbra Guardian 9.1% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 9.1% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.9% +6.3
Fire Crux Mage 4.5% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.5% 0
Fire Suzaku 4.5% 0
Slimes 4.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.6% +2.5
Water Aetherwing 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.7% +15.5
Water Allies 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.8% -16.4
Water Crux Mage 4.5% 0
Water Fractal 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.5% -20.0
Wind Allies 4.5% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 4.5% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.1% -9.4
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 15 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land -1.00 0 1 0
Sunblessed Gazelle +1.00 1 0 0
Tempest Downfall -1.00 0 1 0
Winds of Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Smoke Bombs -1.00 0 1 0
Windmill Engineer +1.00 1 0 0
Spellward Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Annul Spell +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/32465/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu