EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at XP Games GA Store Champs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 60.1% | 60.0% | 55.1% | 1509 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 52.6% | 53.3% | 51.2% | 1265 | — |
| 3 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 63.7% | 53.3% | 56.4% | 1309 | — |
| 4 | Fire Suited | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.1% | 50.0% | 52.6% | 1121 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 53.7% | 49.2% | 50.9% | 1236 | — |
| 6 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 32.6% | 46.7% | 39.6% | 1463 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 35.5% | 35.6% | 40.2% | 1085 | ↓ low |