Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at 捷泰玩具DTR錦標賽
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
6-0-1
overall winrate
92.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
74.2%
avg ELO +12.2 per match
expected value
62.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
61.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1423
· median 1423
· range 1423–1423
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1133
Q1 1206
Q3 1368
1694
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 55.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.0% | +13.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 22.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Fire Suited | 22.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.3% | +9.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.