Fire SuitedTier 2
at 捷泰玩具DTR錦標賽
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
4-5-0
overall winrate
44.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.9%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
48.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1224
· median 1224
· range 1133–1315
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1133
Q1 1206
Q3 1368
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 55.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.9% | +3.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 22.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.7 |
| Water Neos | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
