Water Umbra GuardianTier 1
at 塔普卡 DTR賽季店冠賽
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
6-1-2
overall winrate
77.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.2%
avg ELO +7.9 per match
expected value
57.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1306
· median 1306
· range 1306–1306
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1205
Q3 1324
1449
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 14.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.5 |
| Water Fractal | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.1% | +12.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.6% | +10.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
