← Arcanum Sanctorum DTR Store Champ
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Arcanum Sanctorum DTR Store Champ.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Genbu | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 100.0% | 74.1% | 64.4% | 62.5% | 1517 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 12.5% | 8 | 75.0% | 52.6% | 58.0% | 52.2% | 1366 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Rile | 4 | 25.0% | 15 | 66.7% | 56.4% | 53.7% | 51.9% | 1282 | — |
| 4 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 6.2% | 7 | 71.4% | 52.0% | 52.7% | 48.6% | 1597 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 2 | 12.5% | 11 | 54.5% | 62.8% | 48.6% | 52.6% | 1272 | — |
| 6 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.3% | 48.0% | 49.4% | 1147 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.1% | 48.0% | 46.6% | 1235 | — |
| 8 | Water Penguin Mill | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.1% | 48.0% | 46.6% | 1235 | — |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.9% | 45.7% | 46.9% | 1202 | — |
| 10 | Fire Ciel | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.8% | 45.0% | 46.7% | 1035 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Neos Tonoris | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 41.0% | 43.3% | 44.2% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.8% | 42.5% | 45.5% | 1116 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Exia | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 0.0% | 22.9% | 40.0% | 40.2% | 1195 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Fractal | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 33.3% | 51.7% | 40.0% | 47.7% | 1214 | — |
| 15 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 7 | 7.1% | 34.4% | 38.3% | 43.5% | 1132 | ↓ low |