Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Sparks Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.6%
avg ELO -6.7 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1374
· median 1374
· range 1374–1374
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1271
Q1 1380
Q3 1472
1616
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.8 |
| Wind Lorraine | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
