Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at RiRiCO 店冠賽
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 45.5% | 10 | 5-5-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.2% | -3.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 13.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 42.4% | -4.4 |
| Water Neos | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.5% | +4.9 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.6% | -5.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reduce to Ash | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Luxera's Map | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Juggle Knives | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scorched Conquest | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |