Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at RiRiCO 店冠賽
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
7-9-0
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.1%
avg ELO -4.4 per match
expected value
44.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1347
· median 1347
· range 1327–1368
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1002
Q1 1240
Q3 1358
1694
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 45.5% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -6.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 18.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.5% | -4.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 13.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.9% | -6.8 |
| Water Neos | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +10.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.9% | -22.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
