← Store Champion - Kamenn Enterprise

Fire Crux LorraineTier 1

at Store Champion - Kamenn Enterprise

decks
2 (11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 5-2-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.9% avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
55.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1321 · median 1321 · range 1304–1338 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999 Q1 1143 Q3 1379 1443
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 16.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.9% +3.1
Fire Aggro 11.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 69.2% +18.4
Fire Suzaku 11.1% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 43.7% -4.7
Water Fractal 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.2% +11.5
Water Genbu 11.1% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 49.9% -0.1
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.6% 0
Fire Suited 5.6% 0
Wind Arcane 5.6% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.6% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 15 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Duplicitous Replication -1.00 0 1 0
Reduce to Ash +1.00 1 0 0
Unbroken Mustang -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Undying Dreams -1.00 0 1 0
Honorable Vanguard -1.00 0 1 0
Three of Hearts -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep -1.00 0 1 0
Flame-Rune Swordsman +1.00 1 0 0
Flame Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Hasty Messenger +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Annul Spell -1.00 0 1 0
Library Witch +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/32612/archetypes/Fire Crux Lorraine