← Store Champion - Kamenn Enterprise

Fire Crux MageTier 1

at Store Champion - Kamenn Enterprise

decks
3 (16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 6-5-1
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.7% avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
51.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1223 · median 1317 · range 999–1352 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
999 Q1 1143 Q3 1379 1443
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 11.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.4% -2.5
Fire Crux Lorraine 11.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.1% -3.1
Fire Suzaku 11.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 68.3% +17.6
Water Fractal 11.1% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 49.8% -0.1
Water Genbu 11.1% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.1% +6.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.0% -16.0
Fire Suited 5.6% 0
Wind Arcane 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.8% +7.7
Wind Shadowstrike 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.3
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Reduce to Ash -1.00 0 1 0
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin +1.00 1 0 0
Incarnate Majesty +1.00 1 0 0
Nimue, Cursed Touch +1.00 1 0 0
Undying Dreams +1.00 1 0 0
Smoke Out +1.00 1 0 0
Deflecting Edge +1.00 1 0 0
Bandage Wound +1.00 1 0 0
Flame Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Crux Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Sudden Steel -1.00 0 1 0
Fast Cure -1.00 0 1 0
Nascent Blast +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit Blade: Ascension +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Rending Flames -1.00 0 1 0
Tome of Sorcery +1.00 1 0 0
Library Witch -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/32612/archetypes/Fire Crux Mage