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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at GA DTR Store Championship

decks
3 (33.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11 4-3-4
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.5% avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
51.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1278 · median 1272 · range 1211–1351 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1145 Q1 1178 Q3 1272 1351
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 22.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.4% +0.4
Fire Crux Merlin 11.1% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 35.1% -11.1
Fire Oblation 11.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 62.6% +12.1
Fire Ravishing Mill 11.1% 0
Fire Suited 11.1% 3 1-0-2 66.7% 57.1% 55.3% +4.0
Wind Crux Lorraine 11.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.4% -1.0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Noble Dissolution +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Devouring Malice -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Mastermind Scheme -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0
Blackmarket Broker +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Longtail Grovesward -1.00 0 1 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Blinding Orb -1.00 0 1 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver +1.00 1 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0
Penumbral Waltz +1.00 1 0 0
Nocturne's Oblivion -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/32716/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike