← Cardtastic Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Cardtastic Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.0%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1311
· median 1311
· range 1284–1337
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1192
Q1 1262
Q3 1414
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.2% | +5.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
