Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 29.2% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 40.0% | -5.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.0% | -7.6 |
| Fire Suited | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ciel | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.9 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.1% | +5.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +1.2 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grim Foreboding | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shadowstrike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dusklight Communion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |