← Game Center Narellan DTR Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Game Center Narellan DTR Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 54.5% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 63.1% | +8.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 48.6% | -1.1 |
| Fire Suited | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.8 |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rile | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ciel | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +21.8 |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Art of War | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 |