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Fire RileTier 1
at CardLab DTR GA Store Championships
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 12.5% | 9 | 3-6-0 | 33.3% | 38.5% | 47.9% | -1.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 8 | 4-2-2 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 54.7% | +2.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.4% | 8 | 4-3-1 | 56.2% | 54.2% | 51.6% | +0.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -3.3 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 46.8% | -1.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 67.8% | +11.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.5% | -3.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.1% | +4.6 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -2.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.1% | +3.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.0% | +4.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 52.8% | +1.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.0% | +8.7 |
Decklists · 16 from this event
The 16 public Fire Rile decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 19 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 4 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Regal Inquisition, Inert Sword, Nullifying Lantern. Losers more often ran: Fiery Interference, Demolition, Devouring Malice.
Show all 176 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 156 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regal Inquisition | +0.42 | 11 | 3 | 1 | |
| Inert Sword | +0.42 | 8 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.37 | 8 | 1 | 5 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.37 | 11 | 4 | 0 | |
| Grim Pastiche | +0.37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.32 | 8 | 2 | 2 | |
| Fiery Interference | -0.32 | 3 | 9 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +0.32 | 7 | 1 | 2 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.21 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| Demolition | -0.21 | 3 | 7 | 1 | |
| Evercurrent Raider | +0.21 | 8 | 4 | 4 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.21 | 6 | 2 | 4 | |
| Umbra Sight | +0.21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +0.21 | 9 | 5 | 1 | |
| Devouring Malice | -0.21 | 1 | 5 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Fire | +0.16 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 8 | |
| Heated Vengeance | -0.16 | 3 | 6 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 5 | |
| Spark Alight | -0.16 | 3 | 6 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Fire | -0.16 | 2 | 5 | 2 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.16 | 3 | 6 | 2 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Ciel, Mirage's Grave | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Baleful Oblation | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Manxome Armoire | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Extorting Blackjack | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Ciel, Loyal Valet | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Grande Sonnerie | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Ciel, Omenbringer | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.16 | 7 | 4 | 3 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | +0.16 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| Advent of the Stormcaller | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Consumption Ring | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +0.16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -0.16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Chosen Disciple | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Vermilion Decree | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Searing Truth | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Planted Explosive | -0.11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | +0.11 | 3 | 1 | 15 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Cinder Geyser | -0.11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | |
| Peppered Chef | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Vengeful Paramour | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Blazing Throw | -0.11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.11 | 7 | 5 | 7 | |
| Rending Flames | +0.11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | |
| Fabled Ruby Fatestone | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Impact Hammer | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Carnwennan, Shrouded Edge | -0.11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -0.11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | -0.11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | -0.11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | -0.11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Lurid Dreaming | -0.11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rococo, Explosive Maven | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.05 | 6 | 7 | 1 | |
| Varuckan Soulknife | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mercenary's Blade | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ravenous Pyre | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dazzling Courtesan | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.05 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.05 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.05 | 6 | 5 | 4 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | -0.05 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Arondight, Azure Blade | +0.05 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | +0.05 | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Varuck, Smoldering Spire | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +0.05 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.05 | 5 | 4 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | +0.05 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | -0.05 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Restorative Flame | -0.05 | 4 | 5 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Blessed Scion | -0.05 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |
| Suzaku's Command | -0.05 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |
| Flash Grenade | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Evasive Positioning | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Prudent Nock | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Expose Darkness | -0.05 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Diana, Aether Dilettante | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flickering Cinder | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aetheric Calibration | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diana, Judgment's Arrow | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Infernal Manastreak | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Charge the Soul | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aetheric Reforging | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.05 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blazing Cindercharge | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Salamander's Breath | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Trivariate Dream | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Backstep | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ashwound Shot | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Piercing Aetherfuel | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Manaflare Barrage | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Seeker's Aetherwing | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Penetrator Round | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Seeker's Rifle | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Peaceful Reunion | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | -0.05 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Umbral Tithe | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diana, Keen Huntress | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nightmare Coil | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Deploy Gunshield | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Punishing Cartridge | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Shadow's Twin | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Demon's Aim | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diana, Duskstalker | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tasershot | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diana, Deadly Duelist | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reposition | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mindbreak Bullet | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bauble of Abundance | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Art of War | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Exia Sight | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jin, Zealous Maverick | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Proof of Life | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bloodshroud Temper | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jin, Fate Defiant | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shuang Ji of Sacrifice | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Berserker Plate | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Clumsy Apprentice | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hemorrhaging Rend | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jin, Undying Resolve | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Relentless Outburst | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Savage Sunder | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mend Flesh | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Enrage | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamme Sorcel | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chamber of Reflections | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Xuchang, Frozen Citadel | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Profane Bindings | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Insignia of the Corhazi | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 7 | 7 | 2 | |
| Uncover the Plot | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Luxera's Map | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zander, Deft Executor | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 0 | |
| Gleaming Cut | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Striking Illuminance | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Luxem Sight | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lightweaver's Assault | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zander, Blinding Steel | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.00 | 5 | 5 | 1 | |
| Juggle Knives | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ghosts of Pendragon | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Crux Knight | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ensoul | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Reimagined | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.00 | 5 | 5 | 1 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Votive Runeblade | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Clarent, Sword of Peace | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Heaven's Favored | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chibi, Battle of Red Cliffs | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |