← CardLab DTR GA Store Championships
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at CardLab DTR GA Store Championships
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-3-1
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
50.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1263
· median 1263
· range 1263–1263
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1223
Q3 1412
1688
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 50.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +1.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
