← Dueling Land - Grand Archive Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Dueling Land - Grand Archive Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Rile | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 100.0% | 58.1% | 60.0% | 53.8% | 1582 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 100.0% | 58.1% | 60.0% | 53.8% | 1582 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 58.2% | 55.0% | 55.2% | 1258 | — |
| 4 | Slimes | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 58.4% | 50.0% | 53.4% | 1258 | — |
| 5 | Water Allies | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 57.5% | 50.0% | 53.0% | 1228 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 57.5% | 50.0% | 53.0% | 1228 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Seiryuu | 1 | 11.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 42.3% | 48.0% | 47.2% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 22.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 42.7% | 48.0% | 47.4% | 1259 | — |
| 9 | Fire Exia | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.8% | 40.0% | 42.4% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Allies | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.4% | 40.0% | 44.4% | 1317 | — |
| 11 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.4% | 40.0% | 44.4% | 1317 | — |