Wind AlliesTier 2
at DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.7%
avg ELO -4.0 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1453
· median 1453
· range 1453–1453
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1155
Q3 1383
1453
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 25.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 37.5% | -12.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Water Neos | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
