Green Dice DTR Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	3	37.5%	10-4-0	71.4%	59.9%	58.0%	54.7%	1454	↑ top
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	12.5%	6-2-0	75.0%	73.3%	58.0%	62.4%	1378	↑ top
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	12.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	40.2%	42.9%	43.6%	1329	—
4		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	1	12.5%	6-2-0	75.0%	49.8%	57.3%	49.6%	1656	↑ top
5		Slimes	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	44.7%	43.3%	46.9%	1054	↓ low
6		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	56.7%	43.3%	51.5%	989	↓ low
7		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	27.3%	40.0%	39.4%	1041	↓ low
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-4-0	20.0%	35.2%	40.0%	42.0%	1343	↑ top
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	12.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	42.3%	42.2%	44.0%	1247	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 3 decks · 37.5%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 12.5%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 12.5%
• Slimes 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%