← Green Dice DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Green Dice DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 8 | 75.0% | 73.3% | 58.0% | 62.4% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Rile | 3 | 37.5% | 14 | 71.4% | 59.9% | 58.0% | 54.7% | 1454 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 12.5% | 8 | 75.0% | 49.8% | 57.3% | 49.6% | 1656 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.7% | 43.3% | 46.9% | 1054 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Umbra Ciel | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 56.7% | 43.3% | 51.5% | 989 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 12.5% | 6 | 33.3% | 40.2% | 42.9% | 43.6% | 1329 | — |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 6 | 33.3% | 42.3% | 42.2% | 44.0% | 1247 | — |
| 8 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 27.3% | 40.0% | 39.4% | 1041 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 20.0% | 35.2% | 40.0% | 42.0% | 1343 | ↑ top |