Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Store Championship
decks
3
(15.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-6-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.4%
avg ELO +4.0 per match
expected value
46.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1296
· median 1352
· range 1145–1389
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1145
Q1 1248
Q3 1449
1702
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.8% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 52.3% | +1.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.0% | +24.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.1% | -11.5 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
