← Month-ender for August with PRs
Fire RileTier 1
at Month-ender for August with PRs
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-2-2
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.3%
avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
52.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1288
· median 1288
· range 1175–1400
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1169
Q1 1198
Q3 1324
1407
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 23.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 23.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Rile decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
