Month-ender for August with PRs

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 2	3	23.1%	6-6-0	50.0%	51.1%	47.1%	50.0%	1265	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	23.1%	7-2-4	69.2%	51.3%	57.8%	50.8%	1348	↑ top
3		Fire Rile	Tier 1	2	15.4%	4-2-2	62.5%	51.3%	52.2%	50.3%	1288	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-4-0	0.0%	47.1%	40.0%	48.8%	1198	↓ low
5		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	1	7.7%	3-0-1	87.5%	52.4%	59.3%	51.2%	1400	↑ top
6		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.5%	43.8%	49.2%	1175	↓ low
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-3-0	0.0%	45.6%	40.0%	47.9%	1289	—
8		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-1-0	50.0%	49.6%	45.0%	48.7%	1207	↓ low
9		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-4-1	10.0%	47.1%	43.0%	49.3%	1169	↓ low
10		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-0-3	70.0%	51.4%	54.0%	50.6%	1193	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 3 decks · 23.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 23.1%
• Fire Rile 2 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 7.7%