← Pokebox USA Store Championships DTR
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Pokebox USA Store Championships DTR
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.3%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1423
· median 1423
· range 1423–1423
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1031
Q1 1321
Q3 1458
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.4 |
| Fire Byakko | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.6 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
