Wind CielTier 2
at DTR BrandX StoreChamp
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-3-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.9%
avg ELO -11.0 per match
expected value
46.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1419
· median 1419
· range 1419–1419
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1125
Q1 1248
Q3 1409
1563
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.3% | -4.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 20.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 33.8% | -15.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -15.0 |
| Water Neos | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Ciel decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
