← Victory Point Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Victory Point Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 49.0% | 55.0% | 49.6% | 1352 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 68.2% | 55.0% | 57.3% | 1215 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 55.9% | 55.0% | 52.4% | 1311 | — |
| 4 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 65.6% | 55.0% | 56.3% | 1291 | — |
| 5 | Wind Exia | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 46.1% | 52.5% | 48.4% | 1382 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 46.9% | 50.0% | 48.8% | 1318 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 37.5% | 44.2% | 47.5% | 47.7% | 1267 | — |
| 8 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 52.9% | 46.7% | 51.4% | 1278 | — |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 39.0% | 46.7% | 44.9% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 40.3% | 40.0% | 45.5% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Neos | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 38.1% | 40.0% | 44.5% | 1153 | ↓ low |