← DTR Store Champ Armchair Adventurer
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DTR Store Champ Armchair Adventurer.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
2nd
Wind Shadowstrike
57.5%
↑ top
1st
Fire Umbra Guardian
60.0%
↑ top
3rd
Water Astra Ranger
56.0%
↓ low
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 71.8% | 60.0% | 60.2% | 1241 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 83.3% | 63.7% | 57.5% | 57.0% | 1232 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 75.0% | 62.8% | 56.0% | 56.0% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 56.0% | 55.0% | 54.4% | 1241 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 44.9% | 52.0% | 49.8% | 1283 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Allies | 2 | 25.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 35.6% | 44.0% | 44.8% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 36.5% | 43.3% | 43.7% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 31.8% | 40.0% | 41.4% | 1140 | ↓ low |