← Hobibear DTR Store Championship
SlimesTier 2
at Hobibear DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.8%
avg ELO -3.9 per match
expected value
46.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1256
· median 1256
· range 1169–1343
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1221
Q3 1431
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 13.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Water Fractal | 13.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.0% | -6.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
