← Valkyrie Games Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Valkyrie Games Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 60.2% | 60.0% | 54.8% | 1599 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 52.4% | 53.3% | 51.1% | 1575 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 53.9% | 53.3% | 51.8% | 1285 | — |
| 4 | Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 56.5% | 53.3% | 53.1% | 1217 | — |
| 5 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.6% | 46.7% | 48.4% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.1% | 46.7% | 48.7% | 1124 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Genbu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.4% | 46.7% | 47.9% | 1231 | — |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.8% | 40.0% | 44.3% | 1094 | ↓ low |