← Store championship azure dtr
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Store championship azure dtr
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.4%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
49.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1399
· median 1399
· range 1399–1399
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1182
Q1 1220
Q3 1438
1508
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.8% | -12.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
