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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Store Championship

decks
3 (37.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 5-1-0
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.0% avg ELO +4.8 per match
expected value
59.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1379 · median 1388 · range 1285–1464 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1105 Q1 1224 Q3 1383 1464
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 25.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.2
Fire Firebloom Burn 12.5% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 60.2% +9.7
Fire Luxem Assassin 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.2
Wind Arcane 12.5% 0
Wind Seiryuu 12.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 52.6% +2.5
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Final Stroke -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Slimeshield -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate -1.00 0 1 0
Shadowstrike -1.00 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Orb of Sealing -1.00 0 1 0
Dusklight Communion -1.00 0 1 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Slice and Dice +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Purifying Thurible -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Assassin's Ripper +1.00 1 0 0
Blinding Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/33937/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike