EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at PI STORE CHAMPIONSHIP !!.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 5.3% | 6 | 66.7% | 49.1% | 57.1% | 52.3% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 15.8% | 12 | 62.5% | 49.7% | 54.8% | 50.4% | 1348 | — |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 48.0% | 53.3% | 50.0% | 1465 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 10.5% | 8 | 62.5% | 65.2% | 52.4% | 55.7% | 1306 | — |
| 5 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 58.0% | 51.2% | 52.9% | 1118 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.3% | 7 | 71.4% | 63.3% | 51.1% | 52.6% | 1461 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 44.0% | 50.0% | 44.6% | 1407 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.0% | 47.8% | 49.2% | 1209 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 52.9% | 46.7% | 51.4% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 10.5% | 11 | 45.5% | 57.2% | 45.6% | 50.2% | 1278 | — |
| 11 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 44.6% | 45.0% | 46.8% | 1442 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.4% | 44.0% | 45.0% | 1304 | — |
| 13 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 5.3% | 1 | 0.0% | 38.5% | 40.0% | 38.5% | 1256 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 5.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 27.4% | 40.0% | 36.5% | 1336 | — |
| 15 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 5.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 38.6% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 1265 | ↓ low |