Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.6%
avg ELO -9.3 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1276
· median 1276
· range 1276–1276
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1128
Q1 1168
Q3 1322
1392
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
