← Buddy Connection GA DTR Store Championship Event
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Buddy Connection GA DTR Store Championship Event.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 53.0% | 54.0% | 48.0% | 1420 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 27.3% | 7 | 64.3% | 61.5% | 53.3% | 53.9% | 1275 | — |
| 3 | Slimes | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 53.2% | 52.5% | 51.3% | 1271 | — |
| 4 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 60.9% | 52.0% | 54.9% | 1279 | — |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 40.9% | 52.0% | 49.6% | 1322 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 57.1% | 46.7% | 49.3% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Exia | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.0% | 46.7% | 47.8% | 1231 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 34.0% | 43.3% | 42.9% | 1305 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Allies | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 29.7% | 40.0% | 40.5% | 1125 | ↓ low |